In 1910 the largest earthquake with a magnitude 7.1 on the Richter scale occurred in the southern part of Lake Tanganyika affecting parts of Zambia, Tanzania and Malawi. This was a natural seismic event.

The filling of large man made reservoirs or dams has been associated with triggering seismic activity. One example in Zambia is the Lake Kariba Dam which has triggered numerous tremors as it filled from 1961. After filling was achieved in August 1963, Lake Kariba triggered high magnitude earthquakes greater than 6.0 on the Richter scale. From 23rd to 25th September 1963, six such high magnitude earthquakes occurred in addition to the other lower magnitude tremors. Between 1961 and 1962 a total of 750 aftershocks were recorded. The seicmic activity thereafter, however numerous tremors whose epicenters are in the Lake Kariba basin have been recorded.


Before construction of Lake Kariba, no known seismic activity had its epicenter in the Lake Kariba basin (Gough,D.I 1978)

The department of metrological Services in Zimbabawe recorded a total of 2416 seismic events emanating from the Lake Kariba area in the middle Zambezi Sub-Basin over a 58year period stretching from 1959 to 2017.In 2016 alone Zimbabwe recorded over 50 earthquakes ranging from magnitude 1.5 to 4.6 on the Richter Scale with Lake Kariba being the epicenter.


Impacts of Seismic Activities


Earthquakes that occur in heavily populated areas are seismic activities that cause the most damages. Karonga area located in neighboring Malawi experienced a suite of earthquakes magnitude 5.4 to 6.4 earthquakes from 6th to 29th December 2009. These earthquakes were felt in Zambia and Tanzania. The impacts of such events include the following.


-Loss of Life- both human and livestock: In case of Karonga, four people were killed and over 300 injured.


-Destruction of Infrastructure: Affected areas are left vulnerable to building collapse, loss of critical infrastructure such as bridges and roads. In Karonga a population of 1.2 million was left vulnerable. The majority of building collapse was caused by liquefaction of lake sediments that occurred along the shore line.


- Homelessness; People in affected areas are subject to homelessness due collapse of their residential building. About 2870 houses were destroyed whilst about 15 000 people were left homeless in Karonga


- Food Insecurity: In areas of high agriculture activity, earthquake events have the potential to cause food insecurity. In the case of Karonga which is a highly cultivated area, people were subjected to food insecurity after destruction of their crops and food storages.


- Threats to human health due to loss of health provision facilities, water and sanitation facilities.

Recent Earth Tremors in the Kariba dam Area


Recently on the 1st and 2nd April 2020 two earth tremors with magnitude 4.0 were recorded in the Zambezi river valley around Kariba dam (Fig 7). According to the Zambia River Authority that monitors the dam, these tremors are common around the Kariba dam. These reservoir induced tremors in the case of the Kariba dam are as a result of the earth’s crust response to the water load or weight of water given the size of the dam. When the dam instrumentation data was collected and analyzed after these two events it was found that no structural damage was experienced by the dam. A visual inspection of the dam also corroborated the data collected from the dam instrumentation. Generally such tremors of that size do not affect the structural integrity of the dam



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By site-4jvpyA May 13, 2024
Environmental impacts of cement and concrete Principal among concrete’s impacts is its “ colossal ” contribution to climate change-causing emissions, say experts. Most of this huge carbon release is attributable to the manufacture of cement, a binding agent made by super heating and chemically altering limestone and clay. Cement is an essential ingredient in concrete, which is a mix of this binding agent, plus water, sand, gravel and stone aggregate). Manufacturing Portland Cement, the most common form used today, requires heating immense kilns, usually stoked with coal and coke, to above 1,400° Celsius (2,552° Fahrenheit), energy consumption that accounts for 40% of cement’s carbon footprint. However, the thermochemical process that decomposes limestone to create clinker — a core component of cement — emits the majority of emissions; it is a process that cannot be avoided. Other climate change-fuelling and potentially harmful pollutants released during production include nitrogen oxide, sulphur dioxide, and carbon monoxide, all of which have major impacts on public health. A 2023 study found that carbon emissions from cement production in developing countries (even excluding China) could reach 3.8 gigatons by 2050, compared to around 0.7Gt in 2018. This tremendous surge in greenhouse gases alone could consume a massive amount of humanity’s remaining carbon budget to keep the world within 2° C (3.6° F) of warming; a planetary boundary which if crossed will have grave global consequences , says study co-author Dabo Guan, professor in climate change economics and the low carbon transition at the University College London. Health concerns While scientists warn urgently about cement and concrete’s climate footprint, they also note other important localized concerns. Poorly regulated cement plants contribute significantly to air pollution , emitting a host of harmful pollutants including heavy metals and particulate matter , with production also estimated to contribute to around 10% of global mercury emissions , or 2,200 tons each year. “A lot of focus is on how to mitigate [cement’s] climate change impacts,” says Christopher Oberschelp, senior researcher and lecturer at ETH Zurich. “But we’re forgetting that we’re also having other very big problems in terms of human health” connected to its production. In 2020, scientists estimated that, along with climate impacts, producing concrete causes around 5.2% of particulate emissions smaller than 10 microns and 6.4% of particulate emissions smaller than 2.5 microns; these tiny particles can penetrate deep into the lungs, so are associated with a host of health problems. The researchers calculated that the global climate and health cost of concrete equates to $335 billion per year. That cost will almost certainly rise as new quarries are dug and cement plants are built in the poorly regulated developing world. These health concerns extend from workers’ exposure at mines , quarries and cement plants, and beyond to surrounding communities , says Phoka Rathebe, associate professor of environmental health at the University of Johannesburg. Research by his team linked cement plant workers’ exposure to the development of chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases , while he notes multiple other studies have found a host of respiratory illnesses and a range of health impairments connected to production. Cement plants also raise questions of environmental justice, with research showing they are often disproportionately sited in low income communities of color in the United States for example. A 2019 review paper notes that cement plant pollutants may have a “toxic activity on respiratory airways, reducing the dynamic lung function, increasing the risk of respiratory symptoms and diseases with a possible carcinogenic effect,” though that study also underlined issues with many studies. Another paper , for example, noted that pollution problems may be specific to individual facilities, but not at others, and emphasized that targeted research is needed in developing countries, particular those in Africa where there’s a dearth of information on the industry’s health impacts. Oberschelp says existing technology could reduce air pollution and health impacts by minimizing and capturing pollutants. But the upgrade and modernization of cement plants is lagging, particularly in developing countries. “One good thing about this is that [because these impacts are localized,] local government can have good control over the health impacts,” he adds. “If they set the [precautionary principle inherent in the] boundary framework, then the cement industry can adapt,” curbing health effects.  Cleaning up cement and concrete The industry has principally pulled on three levers so far to begin addressing its carbon emissions, says Ian Riley, CEO of the World Cement Association — improving energy efficiency, swapping out coal and other fossil fuels for “less carbon intensive fuels,” and reducing the proportion of cement clinker (a major CO 2 source). Other analysts emphasize a current “boom” in research and innovation to clean up cement, including the exploration of solutions that follow a circular economy model. First off, replacing fossil fuels in the cement making process with alternative fuels could greatly reduce the industry’s carbon footprint. But while projects to electrify cement kilns are underway they’re unlikely to come online at scale for more than a decade, according to a GCCA net-zero roadmap . Another promising solution focuses on making “ low-carbon concrete .” Limestone calcined clay cement, for example, offers a 40% CO 2 reduction over traditional Portland cement and is being considered where calcined clay is available. Utilizing waste materials as fuel or as aggregate ingredients — including fly ash left over from coal production, and blast furnace slag from steel production — could also reduce emissions, as could agricultural waste , say experts. Researchers are also exploring more radical solutions, such as the use of algae to replace quarried limestone . All of these ideas are at varying stages of development and deployment, though some may never fully reach the scale required to fulfill future concrete demand, says Riley. “Even today, nobody has a solution to avoid the emissions [generated by clinker production],” he notes. Riley and others suggest carbon capture and storage, or utilizing waste CO 2 within the production process, could one day offer a clinker carbon solution. Sucking up the carbon produced during the cement making process and then storing it in newly made concrete is envisaged as the ideal solution. Some companies are already applying this method. Canada-based CarbonCure , for instance, injects captured CO 2 into concrete where it mineralizes and becomes trapped. “Zero carbon cement and concrete will absolutely require CO 2 utilization technologies like ours,” says company CEO Robert Niven, though he adds that this is just one part of a package of solutions needed, which includes such innovations as ramping up the use of recycled concrete aggregate. Carbon capture has great potential to reduce cement’s footprint, according to Alastair Marsh, a research fellow in alkali-activated materials at the University of Leeds, but he adds that the “proof is in the pudding in terms of how quickly, effectively and at what cost [the technology] can be scaled up.” Other experts warn that the cost and energy required to install next generation cement technology, particularly in developing countries where demand will be highest, may be out of reach for many economies. “The hope is that the technology [including carbon capture and electrification] will remove all emissions from cement production. However, that technology sounds good and sounds optimistic, but we don’t have it yet,” says Mohammad Ali, with the Institute for Manufacturing at the University of Cambridge. However, he adds, “There are solutions that can be implemented almost straight away, alongside the development of technology.” Given that the majority of future carbon emissions from cement and concrete are expected to come from developing countries, Gabo expresses the urgent need for developed nations to invest in solutions which rapidly cut their own emissions, while also supporting developing countries with capacity building and technological advancements. “We need to have those alternatives cements and other technologies spill over as quickly as possible to the Global South,” Gabo says, so that living standards can improve there, while keeping the emission curve flat.
By site-4jvpyA May 13, 2024
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